Chemical and Biological Weapons: A Study of Proliferation by Edward M. Spiers (auth.)

By Edward M. Spiers (auth.)

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If these analyses hardly need any further repetition, they emphasised several important points. In the first place, they indicated that many of the reports were bound to be inconclusive without physical evidence gathered by an experienced, independent inspection team from the alleged attack site. Peter Dunn, who led several UN inspections during the Iran-Iraq War, reckoned that 'Ideally, an inspection team should be on site within fortyeight hours from the time of an attack if success is to be achieved.

They appreciate delivery systems that can be launched against large, unprotected area targets, regardless of weather conditions, and that are free from pilot error or from pilot defection. Some regimes may also deduce from the'war of the cities' during the Iran-Iraq War that ballistic missiles may prove an ideal means of terrorising civilian communities. As confirmed in the Gulf War, missile attacks may have a political and psychological impact out of all proportion to any physical damage which they might inflict.

P' Other states, such as South Korea, Taiwan, Brazil, Argentina and South Africa, have periodically been suspected of possessing research and development programmes, or, in South Africa's case, a production capacity. Yet some countries have apparently shelved these programmes, either bowing to external pressure (in the case of South Korea), or as they sought external support (when South Africa signed the NPT in July 1991), or though a regional agreement (in the joint accord between Brazil and Argentina in November 1990).

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